Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.001962 0.002057 0.002155 0.002267 0.002390 0.002523 0.002676
2025-06-22 0.001809 0.001941 0.002087 0.002260 0.002463 0.002695 0.002987
2025-06-29 0.001684 0.001838 0.002013 0.002228 0.002493 0.002813 0.003243
2025-07-06 0.001598 0.001767 0.001963 0.002214 0.002535 0.002942 0.003523
2025-07-13 0.001491 0.001661 0.001864 0.002127 0.002471 0.002923 0.003598
2025-07-20 0.001437 0.001616 0.001831 0.002118 0.002505 0.003033 0.003865
2025-07-27 0.001402 0.001590 0.001820 0.002134 0.002570 0.003189 0.004228
2025-08-03 0.001357 0.001549 0.001787 0.002117 0.002586 0.003275 0.004491
2025-08-10 0.001332 0.001531 0.001781 0.002135 0.002653 0.003443 0.004931
2025-08-17 0.001297 0.001498 0.001755 0.002123 0.002671 0.003536 0.005252
2025-08-24 0.001261 0.001462 0.001722 0.002098 0.002668 0.003592 0.005514
2025-08-31 0.001253 0.001463 0.001737 0.002143 0.002777 0.003852 0.006295
2025-09-07 0.001235 0.001450 0.001735 0.002163 0.002849 0.004062 0.007067
2025-09-14 0.001205 0.001419 0.001706 0.002141 0.002851 0.004142 0.007544
2025-09-21 0.001172 0.001384 0.001669 0.002107 0.002829 0.004172 0.007896
2025-09-28 0.001148 0.001360 0.001647 0.002092 0.002839 0.004268 0.008507
2025-10-05 0.001104 0.001309 0.001585 0.002013 0.002731 0.004103 0.008169
2025-10-12 0.001085 0.001290 0.001569 0.002005 0.002748 0.004208 0.008853
2025-10-19 0.001074 0.001282 0.001567 0.002019 0.002805 0.004410 0.010074
2025-10-26 0.001055 0.001262 0.001547 0.002004 0.002807 0.004487 0.010850
2025-11-02 0.001046 0.001256 0.001548 0.002020 0.002870 0.004720 0.012688
2025-11-09 0.001029 0.001239 0.001531 0.002009 0.002878 0.004819 0.013959
2025-11-16 0.001010 0.001218 0.001509 0.001986 0.002863 0.004857 0.014920